Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.250158 0.340001 0.445505 0.576477 0.732616 0.910788 1.127409
2026-01-04 0.132033 0.234106 0.375068 0.574241 0.838690 1.168442 1.600988
2026-01-11 0.063677 0.155697 0.307769 0.551774 0.908487 1.387229 2.053567
2026-01-18 0.029116 0.105213 0.258204 0.535728 0.977489 1.607647 2.526782
2026-01-25 0.013214 0.075430 0.228434 0.538787 1.069503 1.864286 3.065960
2026-02-01 0.004410 0.049396 0.191331 0.516542 1.114508 2.053035 3.520457
2026-02-08 0.001687 0.038425 0.181529 0.540927 1.236436 2.363321 4.164663
2026-02-15 0.000362 0.027256 0.163372 0.542211 1.316091 2.611391 4.728312
2026-02-22 0.000087 0.023253 0.164651 0.585650 1.475251 2.994001 5.509200
2026-03-01 0.000004 0.018443 0.159271 0.611620 1.603088 3.331564 6.233956
2026-03-08 NaN 0.013254 0.147085 0.617089 1.690585 3.605667 6.869979
2026-03-15 NaN 0.008533 0.130451 0.605556 1.741469 3.819002 7.417208
2026-03-22 NaN 0.005970 0.122369 0.616832 1.842609 4.128080 8.134886
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003788 0.111903 0.617825 1.921776 4.402738 8.807598
2026-04-05 NaN 0.001875 0.096056 0.595835 1.947566 4.583152 9.333553
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000844 0.083497 0.579737 1.983688 4.782728 9.896335
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000413 0.076980 0.583412 2.065568 5.069397 10.611346
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000100 0.065079 0.560090 2.079354 5.228510 11.116580
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000049 0.064631 0.586021 2.216873 5.627291 12.036936
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000008 0.059289 0.587440 2.292352 5.909649 12.765687
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000006 0.062874 0.633419 2.485916 6.426752 13.907466
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000001 0.062751 0.660879 2.633007 6.857604 14.909244
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.058686 0.666665 2.723461 7.180430 15.731296